Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.133941 0.156976 0.182342 0.212284 0.246599 0.284629 0.329902
2025-12-28 0.096403 0.127575 0.165698 0.215450 0.278323 0.354763 0.454321
2026-01-04 0.077538 0.112368 0.158403 0.223020 0.310570 0.424143 0.581520
2026-01-11 0.064231 0.100467 0.151557 0.227690 0.336828 0.485931 0.702904
2026-01-18 0.053892 0.090238 0.144501 0.229704 0.357949 0.541088 0.818871
2026-01-25 0.045579 0.081264 0.137401 0.229823 0.375143 0.590981 0.930524
2026-02-01 0.038433 0.072733 0.129419 0.226964 0.386659 0.632548 1.032424
2026-02-08 0.032541 0.065195 0.121749 0.223200 0.395667 0.670222 1.130551
2026-02-15 0.026993 0.057237 0.112097 0.214602 0.395352 0.692489 1.205454
2026-02-22 0.025225 0.056046 0.114112 0.226260 0.429936 0.773485 1.380544
2026-03-01 0.021459 0.050240 0.106797 0.220100 0.432638 0.801335 1.469484
2026-03-08 0.018152 0.044771 0.099306 0.212548 0.431773 0.822534 1.548091
2026-03-15 0.015513 0.040321 0.093313 0.207341 0.435051 0.851874 1.644375
2026-03-22 0.014019 0.038210 0.091858 0.211027 0.455645 0.914039 1.803874
2026-03-29 0.013008 0.037053 0.092255 0.218510 0.484266 0.992977 1.999207
2026-04-05 0.011894 0.035425 0.091366 0.223100 0.507401 1.063188 2.183070
2026-04-12 0.010737 0.033460 0.089412 0.225078 0.525237 1.124387 2.353898
2026-04-19 0.009612 0.031350 0.086795 0.225195 0.539029 1.178469 2.514368
2026-04-26 0.008470 0.028955 0.083119 0.222387 0.546155 1.219618 2.652124
2026-05-03 0.007432 0.026637 0.079283 0.218692 0.550868 1.256032 2.782635
2026-05-10 0.006325 0.023855 0.073798 0.210251 0.543949 1.267657 2.863579
2026-05-17 0.006139 0.023973 0.076135 0.221697 0.583953 1.380940 3.160243
2026-05-24 0.005325 0.021825 0.071870 0.215649 0.582143 1.404365 3.271011